Wednesday, 28 May 2014

Workers Of The World Ukip

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The current received wisdom is that Labour was the biggest loser in the European elections. But received wisdom has not been quite right in the head since it got whacked by a handbag back in 1979. Normal service is not expected to resume from this quarter any time soon.

Labour is, in fact, sitting pretty. It’s true that they betrayed their most loyal constituency, the working class, years ago in favour of a rainbow coalition of whinge-bags looking for preferential treatment. But no party ever went out of business by playing on people’s resentment. So however weird Miliband’s personality disorder gets, Labour will always be able to rely on ethnic minorities, feminists, gays, public sector workers and significant numbers of the deluded working class who haven’t got the message from them yet to “Fuck off!”

So despite not winning  the Euros Labour are still polling around 36% even with a special needs leader. So save your tears for Labour. It’s the Conservatives that are staring into the abyss. And from the recent behaviour of their leader it looks as if the abyss is beginning to stare out of them.

In truth Dave’s cunning plan for Conservative hegemony has been a bust since the get go.

In the telling phrase Dave was to be “the heir to Blair”. The Conservatives would win a whole new constituency by lurching to the left. Wind turbines and gay marriage would convince doubters in the centre ground that the Conservative party was nasty no more.

Cameron wasn’t worried about resistance from traditional conservatives. On the contrary he welcomed it. You couldn’t buy better publicity for the brave new Conservative party than courageous Dave facing down reactionary has-beens.  

And, of course, the really good bit was that the disaffected had nowhere to go.
                    
Or so they thought. Enter stage right Ukip.
                                            
But even before Ukip came to dig their grave, Cameron’s work in progress was distinctly pale and ailing. Otherwise how was it that the shiny new brand barely scraped a third of the vote in 2010 in the context of a catastrophically disastrous Labour government led by Dr. Dismal himself, Gordon Brown. Ok Ukip cost the Conservatives 3%; but Dave and George lost the rest of what should have been a landslide-winning margin.

In truth the lurch to the left really had very little to do with electoral calculation. David Cameron is often criticised for “believing in nothing”. That’s a slanderous falsehood. Dave is a man of very deeply held and consistent beliefs. Unfortunately for the Conservatives those principles are mostly progressive. Dave really does dig wind turbines and hoodies, and couldn’t be prouder to be the midwife of gay marriage.

Most conservatives have worked that out by the simple expedient of looking at what he’s done rather than listening to anything  he says.

If further proof is required, cast your mind back to December 2011. Dave was briefly a national hero when he pretended to veto an EU treaty. For the first and last time since the election the Conservatives led in the polls. If Dave had really wanted popularity, he would have continued with the Thatcher routine. But no. Dave got very upset that any of his liberal buddies would really believe it was more than just a sop to the “swivel-eyed loons” and so quickly offered up Britain’s bottom for Barroso’s delectation.

The December 2011 surge in popularity also gives the lie to the idea that a right-wing Conservative party can’t win elections.

As the conventional wisdom has it, if David Cameron keeps his head and sticks to the plan Ukip voters will return to the fold after their tantrum and he’ll win the next election easily against deviant Ed and shifty Nick.

But back in the real world things are very different.

The left of the political spectrum is currently standing room only. Scratch that. The 3 traditional parties are not crowded onto the left, but only on that part of the left which is the obsession of liberal progressives. The rest of the whole spectrum of political tastes is up for grabs. “LibLabCon” is not just a buzzword, it’s an accurate description of the fantastic opportunity that Ukip has to give British politics a detox.

The key to victory for Ukip will be to build on their popularity with right-wingers by taking up the cause of the aspirational working class, despised and abandoned by the Labour Party.

Ukip already does very well with working class voters who are angry with Labour for destroying their communities with mass immigration. After all it’s not middle-class liberals whose children go to schools where English speakers are in a minority.

Ukip could easily build on that with the message that they’re going to slash the cost of energy by binning the turbines and solar panels, and fracking like hell. Not only would that save granny from freezing to death, but it would also bring back manufacturing industry to Britain and with it the realistic chance of a good job.

Ukip should also emphasis root and branch reform of welfare. Many Liberals were shocked by a survey last year that revealed that a majority of poor people are just as annoyed about the abuse of benefits by the idle underclass as many on the right. Obvious really when you remember that they live next to them and work all day for a similar income.

Then last but not least, Ukip should promise to reform the justice system and start dealing the scum that prey on the working class more than anybody else.

And one last crucial ingredient. Bring back something not seen in British politics for generations. Ukip has got to select a cohort of real blunt speaking working class candidates. That will be the stake into the heart of Labour as the representatives of the actually working class. Of course the media class will revile Ukip, misrepresent us and goad us. But get this, they do already. And the clearer they make their smug contempt the more support Ukip will pick up.

Do that and Ukip would have both a coherent program and enough support in the country from both left and right to win a victory.

Workers of the world Ukip. You have nothing to lose but a smug, sanctimonious, delusional, incompetent and overbearing political elite.

12 comments:

  1. Good piece.

    I have no doubt Labour will win the next election, when they will preside over another economic downturn starting in '16, which they will be able to blame on the current coalition. We're currently enjoying a bear market rally as far as the real economy is concerned.Then Labour will win the next election as well. But I'm relaxed about this, because it will hasten the end of The Big State even faster than it otherwise would have done with the tories in power. The Big State is finished. The trend is unstopppable, and has been running since 1989, with the collapse of the USSR, the biggest Big State of all. There's nothing they can do about it, here, or in the EU. I give the EU ten-twelve years for break-up, maybe fifteen if they really push the boat out with trying to stop it from happening. It could be less, but I feel I have to be generous, here. Between then and now, loads of civil unrest all over the continent and in the UK.

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  2. All good points, but if you don't do something about the fourth estate it's all for naught. In the US, it's impossible to take away a TV network's licence - there's the first amendment and also they have too many politicians in their pocket. But in the UK it shouldn't be too difficult to insist that BBC/ITV + the newspapers report fairly or else. The sorry spectacle of UKIP being smeared from EVERY POINT of the UK media compass was not lost on the public. Can you imagine how many votes UKIP would have gotten if the media had treated them fairly? How many more if the media had been on their side? The UK has government agencies that watch the media for bias amongst other things. Use those to conduct enquiries on media bias. When overt bias is found fire the culprits. If that doesn't work threaten to take away their operating licenses.

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  3. The way to deal with the media is to stand up to it. Be reasonable and respectful, but when they insinuate, hit back with feeling. Some Ukip candidates are apologetic and even seem ashamed. That's got to go. And when it does the message will get out. Media liberals are much more vulnerable than you think. Even in their controlled environment they lose again and again to Nigel Farage. We need a lot more like him.

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  4. Headline in the Indy today: Has Ukip's success in the European elections proved that democracy is a flawed way to choose a government?

    Do I need to bother to read the article? The headline says it all: democracy becomes suspect the moment people vote for the "wrong" party.

    I think we've already become aware that the elite hold voters in barely concealed contempt: the ordinary man is too naive, inept or just plain stupid to be entrusted with the responsibility of choosing the people who hold the levers of power. Why, such a task should be left to the elite, who, after all, are qualified to choose themselves. We've also realised by now that voting is largely a fiction that voters wield any real power or have any real choice. So they're really rubbing our noses in it with the above headline. And do read the article. Apparently the dismal state of the UK is our fault because we maxed out our credit cards. See how it works? When you start to win, they tell you that you're losing.

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  5. There's a strong possibility that even if Ukip climbed the mountain and won that our liberal masters would find a legal avenue to prevent them taking office. Then we'll find just how much the British people love their democracy.

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  6. Come the hour, Come the Man, NIGEL FARAGE!!

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  7. The other elephant in the room as regards the next General Election result is what happens if Scotland votes for independence. Labour will loose a huge tranche of its voting client state and the outlook for Cameron will be significantly improved. Maybe this is why the better together campaign has been so utterly hopeless Cameron secretly wants Scotland to go. Another very positive side benefit of UKIP's spectacular success has been the complete humiliation of the utterly vile Nick Clegg and his opportunistic band of oddball losers.

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  8. Yes when Labour are returned to office there will be a run on the pound . We have less gold reserves than Portugal less currency reserves than Spain. The coming economic crises will probably lead to an emergency national government with cash machines frozen, troops on the streets and the uk Independence party taken into protective custody . just a plug for my www.davidsfirst.blogspot.co.uk

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  9. I’m coming very late to this thread but just discovered John Moloney blog and most impressive writing and observation it is too………..

    To bring us all up to date, last week has seen the defection of Douglas Carswell to UKIP and also, notably doing the brave and decent thing of resigning, prompting a by-election and thereby putting his future career on the line. This is a game-changer. This has been proved over the weekend with polls showing a 64% support for UKIP in the Clacton constituency and so it looks pretty certain that UKIP will gain its first MP.

    Of course there have been the usual attempts to negate this possibility and attempts to suggest it doesn’t matter because to vote UKIP we will get a Labour government. Outrageously, Saturday’s Daily Telegraph leader column carried exactly this message and sentiment despite the weekly column on the opposite page by Charles Moore arguing very carefully and in a ‘non-shouty' way that the Carswell defection is a huge and significant event and that UKIP is now a genuine force for good against the political elite of Westminster and Brussels who routinely ignore the voters and have been treating us with contempt for decades.

    These commentators, politicians and scaremongers peddling this ‘vote Farage, get Ed’ nonsense (including the Telegraph leader writer/Editor) are all wilfully missing the inconvenient truth that is that the significant and growing numbers of people now supporting UKIP are not moving to UKIP solely because of a wish to leave the EU or to reverse the mass immigration inflicted by Labour (and not reversed at all by the Coalition). No, the reason for the surge in UKIP support is because so many of us are sick of the LibLabCon, the identikit plastic politicians who have no idea about the real world and have never had a job outside politics and their desire to be at ‘the big table’ and pretending they are more than just UK politicians and the UK citizens being treated as fools and vote-fodder. We also see right through Cameron’s deceitful ‘promise’ of an EU Referendum in 2017. Cameron is an out and out Europhile. He won’t give us a Referendum or if he does, he will conjure up a pile of ‘concessions’ from Brussels that he is no doubt working on with Merkel, Barroso and Juncker right now that he hopes will pull the wool over our eyes like John Major did over Maastricht. We need to be alert and wait and watch for this sleight of hand from Cameron.

    This is the inconvenient truth. The growing support for UKIP is more than about the EU Referendum, immigration, Farage and Carswell. We are as mad as hell and we’re not going to take it anymore. UKIP has finally given us a voice, an alternative and hope. We want Cameron out, we want Labour out and LimDem ignored or just forgotten. Cameron, Osborne and Crosby can’t evade this as much as they say ‘vote Nigel, get Ed’. Their time is up.

    I can’t wait for May 2015 to come.

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    Replies
    1. I agree that there is a real chance. More Conservative MPs will follow Carswell, particularly as Cameron's last cabinet (5 knuckle) reshuffle made it clear that conviction politicians, particularly if they're men, have no future in the Conservative party.

      There is a chance, but it's a last chance. It's going to be a hell of a fight. As you noted above apart from a couple of hold outs even the Telegraph is now dominated by liberal voices. So the whole media will unite to demonise Ukip.

      The way to win is never to slink back and apologise for representing Ukip as some of its people do, but to stand up and say the unsayable (in polite liberal company, that is). The people left and right will only respond to a blunt and brave facing down of the liberal elite.

      If that is done there's a real possibility of building a broad coalition of everybody right and left that haven't had a voice for generations in parliament.

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